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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Canada's stock index closed up 0.6% on the day when the central bank cut interest rates, Brazil's real rose over 1% on the day when the central bank raised interest rates, and Canada's S&P /TSX composite index closed up 0.60% at 25,657.70 points, approaching the closing record high of 25,691.80 points on December 6 and the intraday record high of 25,843.20 points on December 9. Small-cap stocks closed up 0.74% at 847.15 points. In late North America on Wednesday (December 11th), the yield of Canada's 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 6.7 basis points to 3.085%. The yield of debt increase in the two-year period rose by 5.3 basis points to 2.941%. After the US CPI inflation data was released at 21:30 Beijing time, the refresh rate was as low as 2.827%. After the Bank of Canada announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 22:45, it pulled back steeply from 2.84% to 2.960% at 03:06. The yield of five-year debt increase rose by 6.1 basis points to 2.891%. Mexico Composite Index closed down 0.17%, while Mexican peso rose 0.11% against the US dollar. The index of Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in Brazil closed up 1.06% to 130,000 points, and since it rose to a record high of 137,000 points on August 28th, it has been continuously and smoothly adjusted back. The Brazilian real rose by 1.43% against the US dollar, and it was reported at R $5.9647 before the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates by 100 basis points and predicted that it would raise interest rates in the next two times.The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Jehad) said that a delegation, including its leaders, arrived in Cairo on Wednesday to discuss the negotiation of the hostage-for-prisoner agreement.

The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shentong Metro Group. According to the news of Shentong Metro Group, on the afternoon of December 11th, Shentong Metro Group held a leadership adjustment announcement meeting. At the meeting, the Organization Department of the Municipal Party Committee announced that Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd., and Ge Shiping was removed from the post of deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.Merger and acquisition, restructuring and opening up a new bureau, market value management has achieved results. Shanghai is a state-owned state-owned enterprise in the big game of capital market, and Shanghai is a major town of state-owned state-owned enterprises. The market value of state-owned listed companies in Shanghai has exceeded 2.7 trillion yuan, which is a powerful state-owned company in the capital market. Since the beginning of this year, Shanghai state-owned listed companies have taken the initiative to take the lead, tried first, actively reformed and innovated, decisively settled in the big chess game of the capital market, opened a new game in mergers and acquisitions, and managed the market value quite effectively, handing over a sample answer sheet. (SSE)

Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has added a large channel, the Huangmaohai cross-sea channel, to traffic; 2. The five departments issued a document to strengthen the recruitment and employment security of manufacturing industry and promote the formation of a recruitment and employment consortium; In March and November, the production and sales of new energy vehicles increased by 45.8% and 47.4% respectively. 4. Promote common development with the spirit of "helping each other with the same ball" (harmony); 5. Experts from the World Economic Forum: China has contributed to the global clean energy transformation; 6. Gao Yunlong attended the opening ceremony of the second Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference and delivered a speech; 7. The natural gas supply capacity of "three highs and one drop" in coal supply and demand during peak winter has been further improved; 8. Pay attention to system integration and build a high-level socialist market economic system with systematic thinking (targeted); 9. The market scale of China's crop seed industry exceeded 150 billion yuan for the first time last year. Industry-University-Research used integrated seed industry to improve quality and efficiency (high-quality development sees highlights and readings); In October and November, the passenger traffic of urban rail transit exceeded 2.7 billion passengers; 11, China's first 500 kv provincial digital power grid construction progress more than half; 12. Hangzhou Market Supervision Bureau launched the "Safe Consumption Receipt Code"; 13. Indonesia plans to add a number of special economic zones in the next four years; 14. Economic Outlook Report of the European Commission in Autumn 2024-The EU economy is expected to grow by 0.9% this year; 15. The Japanese enterprise price index reached the highest year-on-year increase in 17 months.